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TABLE 192 Inequality Measures Ratio of Richest 20 Percent to Poorest 20 Percent
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Paraguay Colombia Panama Brazil El Salvador Guatemala Chile Peru Argentina Ecuador Honduras
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Source: United Nations
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278 253 239 237 209 203 187 186 176 173 172
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According to World Bank data, an estimated 20 percent of Mexicans live below the international poverty line of $2 per day As in other developing economies, this high proportion of poverty is linked to a large, rural agricultural sector While agriculture accounts for only about 4 percent of Mexico s GDP, it represents 18 percent of the labor force According to the World Factbook, 24 percent of the labor force is employed in the industrial sector, while the remaining 58 percent work in the services industry Per capita income in Mexico is about one-fourth that of the United States and three times that of India On a current purchasing power parity basis, Mexico s per-capita GDP is estimated at about $11,760, and per-capita income is expected to rise by 30 percent to 40 percent from 2005 to 2020 (Deutsche Bank Research, February 16, 2006) The relatively high level of per-capita income, however, does not tell the entire story The ratio of richest 20 percent of the population to poorest 20 percent is quite high by global standards, at 124 Still, as Table 192 shows, Mexico s income inequality measure is among the most favorable among Latin and South American countries Obstacles to Mexican economic growth include restrictive labor practices and bureaucracies that make it expensive and time consuming to start or expand businesses Employers may be obligated to maintain a permanent working relationship with employees or pay stiff severance settlements The value of employee bene ts approaches 50 percent of wages compared with 25 percent to 30 percent in the United States By one measure, the labormarket environment in Mexico is about four times as restrictive as in the United States, United Kingdom, and Australia Side effects of these restrictive practices may include suboptimal hiring during growth spurts, widespread underemployment as workers cling to less challenging jobs because of
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The Second Mexican Independence
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their accumulated bene ts, and greater demand for informal workers as employers try to avoid the higher costs of hiring formal workers While the nation s unemployment rate is low, at 32 percent, nearly a quarter of the population is believed to be underemployed Labor practices are only one hurdle to Mexico s growth prospects Another is the lack of competitive markets A survey in 2005 found the existence of public and private monopolies (one seller) or oligopolies (a small number of sellers) topped the list of obstacles to business development in Mexico Anticompetitive laws and practices that have hampered Mexico s economy in the past, however, have been substantially eliminated by legislation passed in 2006 The new law provides a modern framework for antitrust regulations and enforcement in order to ensure that competitive market forces can operate to keep prices from escalating arbitrarily Observers point to Mexico s telephone industry as a classic example: When Telmex, a private phone company, operated 9 out of 10 telephone lines in Mexico, the average long distance call rate was above $050 per minute, among the highest in the world (The Guardian, July 7, 2007) Mexico s status as a low-cost supplier of goods and services to American companies has faltered, as incomes have gradually risen and as even lower-cost companies have developed in Asia Since 2000, some 270,000 Mexican assembly jobs (known as maquiladora jobs) have been lost to Chinese rms1 Other Latin American countries also compete with Mexican rms, with wage levels that are 50 percent to 75 percent lower Mexico, Brazil, and Korea are now considered middle-income countries, and their economic fortune may hinge on their ability to develop strength in valueadded production that requires skilled labor and better process management However, a study by McKinsey notes that the most successful efforts at expanding into these types of jobs may come in existing industries rather than by shifting into new industries Therefore, investors may want to look for companies that have well-established trade relationships and that are making investments in increasing their capabilities to deliver higher-level services and to tap into the unused potential of Mexico s labor force
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