WESTERN EUROPE, GERMANY, AND ITALY, TWENTIETH CENTURY in .NET

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WESTERN EUROPE, GERMANY, AND ITALY, TWENTIETH CENTURY
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EUROPE AND NORTH AMERICA SINCE 1900
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Table 66 Prices and Yields of Long-Term Belgian Government Securities: Twentieth Century
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WESTERN EUROPE, GERMANY, AND ITALY, TWENTIETH CENTURY
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Table 66
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EUROPE AND NORTH AMERICA SINCE 1900
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Table 66
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WESTERN EUROPE, GERMANY, AND ITALY, TWENTIETH CENTURY
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Table 66
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The securities with the higher nominal rates, as usual, yielded more. None of the issues studied sold for long over their face value. There is available to us no single Belgian series as reliable in describing the going rate of long-term interest as were British consols in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, the band of British long-term yields, and the American corporate bond yield averages in the twentieth century. The trend of long-term Belgian interest rates was similar to the general trend in the other countries reviewed during the first two decades of
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the twentieth century: Yields rose sharply after 1910. In the 1920 s the Belgian market diverged from the American, English, and Dutch markets and followed the French market: Yields rose further until 1925, as the two francs were under attack, and fell sharply after 1926, following devaluation and stabilization. In the 1930 s the Belgian market continued to follow the French rather than the American, British, and Dutch markets. In spite of very low short-term interest rates, bond yields did not then fall to very low levels. Belgian yields rose sharply from 1937 to 1940. During World War II, they declined, as did yields in other countries, but not far. After the war Belgian yields as described by the 4s formed a unique pattern. They did not rise sharply from 1945 to the early 1960 s, as did the yields in most other countries studied; they had not fallen very low. They simply fluctuated between 4.25% and 4.75% most of the time, when Dutch yields were rising from 3 to 4.40%, American yields were rising from 2.37 to 4.60%, British yields were rising from 2.50 to 7.00%, and French yields were rising from 3% to a high of 6.50%. New Belgian government issues of medium term were offered at an average yield of 4.78% during the 1950 s. They sometimes yielded over 5%. The lower yield of the 4s was in part due to the terms and privileges of the 4% debt. However, unusual stability of bond yields and, indeed, unusual economic stability characterized Belgium in this second postwar period. This period of stability ended abruptly in 1964. Thereafter, yields rose sharply to 6.5%, stabilized there for several years, rose again in 1970 to about 7.50%, stabilized for three years, and then rose to an annual average of 8.68% in 1974. Belgian yields remained in a range of 8.5 to 9.0% from 1975 to 1978, and then climbed rapidly to peaks over 13.50% in 1981 and 1982. Thus their highs were below the American highs and far below the English and French highs. Yields then declined to around 8% in the later 1980 s. The comparison with American corporate bond yields in Chart 65 brings out the similarities and differences in the trends of Belgian yields in the twentieth century. Like most European yields, the Belgian yields started the century below the American yields and rose faster than the American yields. The crisis of high yields did not occur in Belgium in 1920, but, as in France, it occurred in 1925 1926. After 1926, Belgian yields fell to the American level or a little lower, whereas in France yields then fell far below the American level. During the early 1930 s, Belgian yields tended to fluctuate with American yields, but after 1937 Belgian yields rose far above American yields. In this they also followed the French pattern. After 1946, the difference from other trends became very striking. There was no great rise in the yield of the 4s from 1946 to 1960 such as there was in the yields of bonds in almost every other country studied. American yields rose and met the yield of the Belgian 4s in 1959. While other Belgian issues yielded more than the 4s, the uptrend in yields in the 1950 s was unusually small.
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