Six Sizzling Markets in .NET

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By 2006, less than eight years removed from economic upheaval under a shaky political system, Russia had become the world s ninth largest economy, with a gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate at just over 65 percent, making it the fastest growing nation in the G8 With a stable political system not witnessed in years past and an unmatched abundance of natural resources, predicting the upward pull of the Russian economy was no longer an undertaking for idiots
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Domestic Disturbance
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Economic chaos and political disorder are virtually inseparable one invariably follows the other in some form Russia in the late 1990s would prove to be no exception As discussed in 5, the economic collapse in August 1998 was preceded by a hectic period of internal Russian politics, marked by rotating governments, political polarization, and widespread dissatisfaction with Yeltsin s leadership As early as January 1998, it was apparent that Russia was lagging in several key economic areas Capital investment had already shrunk nearly 7 percent, as had real income Total pro ts in the industrial sector, which had already begun to plummet in early 1997, fell by 15 percent in the rst month of 1998 Losses in the industrial sector increased by 140 percent Foreign debt had topped $6 billion and domestic debt totaled 530 billion rubles a situation that had forced the government to restructure or denominate the ruble in 1997, whereby the last three digits of all bank notes were removed With a drastically reduced working budget, Russia struggled to pay its own workforce, to say nothing of foreign creditors
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Yeltsin Cleans House
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On March 23, 1998, with economic chaos ensuing (and more on the horizon), Yeltsin forced his entire cabinet to resign a decision that would permanently tarnish his legacy Among the victims were high-pro le gures such as interior Minister Anatoly Kulikov and Anatoly Chubais, who were settling into their roles as the de facto economic liaisons to the West Perhaps most shocking of all was the dismissal of Prime Minister Viktor Chernomyrdin, who had been considered a strong presidential candidate to replace Yeltsin in the 2000 elections It was a political move as hasty as it was unexpected, as the Russian leader gave no immediate reason for the cabinet s dismissal The consensus among analysts suggested that Yeltsin s sweeping dismissals were born not of pragmatism, but of emotion and ego Yeltsin s bold move sent shockwaves through the corridors of power in Russia Any remaining con dence in a political system already embroiled in chaos evaporated overnight
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Blind Turns and Growing Pains
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In place of Chernomyrdin, Yeltsin assigned the duties of acting prime minister to a 35-year-old businessman named Sergei Kiriyenko, who had served as Russia s minister for fuel and energy Kiriyenko was viewed as little more than a lackey, handpicked by Yeltsin, and this perception was not con ned to the Russian border Western investors had begun to take notice of the situation In the months following the ousting of the big three that is, Kulikov, Anatoly Chubais, and Prime Minister Chernomyrdin it was estimated that as much as $15 billion was removed from the Russian market
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A Vote of No Con dence
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According to author Roy Medvedev, in his book Post-Soviet Russia, which chronicled the Russian nancial disaster, this loss of con dence was nowhere more apparent than with the oligarchs Between 1991 and 1996, large government assets were transferred into private control, a process sometimes referred to as grabi cation, as major new companies were created through government in uence and concessions The oligarchs, therefore, a small, select group of bene ciaries, accumulated great wealth in a short span of years These included owners of energy and metallurgy rms, new commercial banks, distributors of high-demand imported goods, and media moguls Although the communist bureaucrats who controlled assets during the Soviet era had been discredited and dispossessed, a new cadre of operators emerged, who used the uid political situation to their advantage The newcomers were supported behind the scenes by the of cials seeking to prosper in the new environment The prominent oligarchs included Vladimir Potanin, head of Onexim Bank; Boris Berezovsky, a foreign auto importer and media magnate; and Piotr Aven, Alpha Bank president Mikhail Khodorkovsky came to head the giant Yukos Oil Company, becoming the richest man in Russia by 2003, with a net worth of $15 billion before eventually being the target of a massive government crackdown on corruption At a time when the general population was experiencing hardship, huge fortunes accumulated overnight by questionable means fueled resentment against the new regime Assets had again concentrated in the hands of a minority through political in uence rather than merit or competition The newly rich used their leverage on the nancially faltering state by extending loans in exchange for concessions The wealth and power of some oligarchs fed their political ambitions and posed a threat to the political elites that controlled the state Set to endorse Chernomyrdin in the 2000 election, the oligarchs were suddenly on to Plan B in learning of his dismissal Controlling absurd amounts of wealth, such parties were in desperate need of a stable political environment
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