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which proved too long Once the freeze was over, in ation exploded once more Sarney s day was over as quickly as it had begun
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Free Elections, Open Economy
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In 1989, more than 80 million Brazilians participated in the rst direct presidential election since 1960, and Fernando Collor de Mello was elected Although Collor s presidency was ultimately a failure he was impeached in 1992 on charges of widespread corruption his one success was the implementation of a plan to gradually reduce the state s role in the Brazilian economy The government started to sell off state-owned enterprises, dismantle protectionist trade policies, and open Brazil s economy to the rest of the world Brazilians excitement over a return to democracy was genuine, but the economic situation was going from bad to worse: Government de cits and public debt were growing; in ation was out of control; and the constitution of 1988 included many provisions that the government simply couldn t afford At the same time, about 35 percent of the population was living in poverty In 1990, the Gini coef cient went above 06 for the rst time since it was rst measured in the 1960s Collor s vice president, Itamar Franco, served out the remaining two years of Collor s term, although he did little to remedy the in ation crisis Then, in 1994, Franco appointed Fernando Henrique Cardoso, one of Brazil s most prominent intellectuals, as his nance minister In an attempt to control runaway in ation and solve the debt crisis, Cardoso and his team of economists created the Real Plan (Plano Real)
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CHAPTER
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The Real World
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Brazil from 1994 to today
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Brazil is the country of the future and always will be Brazilian proverb
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s Brazil nally ready to become the country of the future Since 1994, Brazil has continued its trajectory of tight scal control, privatization, and full participation in the global economy The country s dramatically improved economic outlook has put it in a position to realize its enormous potential There have been some bumps in the road, but the days of hyperin ation are over, democracy is rmly reestablished, and Brazil has taken a leadership role in promoting Latin American interests abroad Two strong presidents, Fernando Henrique Cardoso and Luiz In cio Lula da Silva, a have steered Brazil through this critical time, providing political stability and strong scal policies
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President Cardoso s First Term: 1994 1998
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Fernando Henrique Cardoso, a brilliant sociologist who had written widely on economic dependency and race relations, was inaugurated on January 1, 1995 A former Marxist who had been exiled by the military regime, Cardoso returned to Brazil and eventually began a political career as a progressive centrist As a presidential candidate, he ran with the backing of traditional conservative politicians against the candidate of labor unions and the left, Lula Lula, founder and leader of the Worker s Party, was running for the second time
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Cardoso s Plano Real
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On July 1, 1994, prior to his inauguration, Cardoso s Plano Real was unveiled This plan reformed the Brazilian currency, creating the real, and 33
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put into place measures to reduce in ation without arti cial wage or price freezes In ation dropped from 45 percent to 50 percent per month in 1994 to 1 percent to 2 percent per month over the next two years Between 1994 and 1997, in ation was the lowest it had been in decades By 1998, in ation was almost zero In addition, Plano Real balanced the budget and xed the exchange rate, while the central bank raised interest rates, helping to drive in ation down from 2,500 percent in 1993 to 16 percent in 1996 The success of Plano Real gave millions of Brazilians hope for the future and prospects of a better life It also brought national attention to the man behind the plan Cardoso s success made him a leading contender for the presidency in late 1994, which he won in the rst round with 54 percent of the vote When Cardoso took of ce, he intended to revise the 1988 constitution, address scal imbalances, attract foreign investment, move away from economic nationalism, and reduce the enormous public sector In addition, Cardoso was ready to lead Brazil into the market economy He was against government-run monopolies in such industries as mining and energy, telecommunications, and natural gas all of which were products of Vargas-era nationalism In 1995, Congress approved Cardoso s early proposals, but a second set of broader reforms including tax reform, pensions, health care, and retirements became mired in political in ghting At the same time, Brazil s economy bene ted from the successful inauguration of the Southern Cone Common Market a trade organization consisting of Latin American nations which was established in March 1991 but was not fully effective until 1994
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