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oday s world is bound together as never before Countries are connected not only by the visible means of trucks and trains and ships and planes, but also by invisible electronic pathways There are an impressive number of trade and commercial agreements between nations that are unprecedented and historic and range from bilateral to global and create compacts between nations that provide a needed framework for the global economy More and more countries have come to realize that opening their economies to the rest of the world is a likely gateway to future prosperity In the global economy of today, a design change of a cell phone initiated in Seoul, Korea, may affect jobs for workers at Motorola in Austin or Chicago And the fact that General Motors cars are more popular in China than in the United States may determine the fate of the largest car company in the world The comparative advantage of nations is on display as a part of this global order The addition, elimination, and shifting of jobs as countries compete can have a dramatic impact on individuals, families, and, in some cases, entire towns The new order is resulting in the forming of alliances at a rate never before seen The emergence of the European Union, after centuries of bloodletting, as a uni ed political and economic force is a vivid example of such an arrangement But other such unions are no less visible, such as the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) connecting the economic superpower United States with its neighbors Canada and Mexico There are many such arrangements either in the works or already functioning in regions such as Latin America and South America as well as Southeast Asia, South Asia, and the Paci c As the world grapples with issues such as global warming, safeguarding the environment, and reducing poverty, there is more political and economic pressure to cooperate The shrinking of the world is likely to continue as nations recognize the truth that a world composed of a few economic superpowers is not very likely and that many of the colossal problems the world will face will have solutions only when nations engage This book takes this theme and looks at the world for the next two to ve decades and examines the opportunities that may become available to investors It is our opinion that the six countries of Brazil, Russia, India, China, Korea, vii
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and Mexico, which are currently thought of as emerging countries, are likely to play a prominent part in the future world order, along with the United States, Japan, Europe, and Canada The ascendance of these six countries in the next decade or so is likely to provide investment opportunities that were not available to investors of US stocks or European stocks a century ago The book has been organized into six country sections to give readers more than a casual look into the historical as well as political background of the country, and then explain both the current and future economic potential as well as investment opportunities For those investors ready to take the next step, the appendices provide some additional tools to identify investment opportunities, from exchangetraded funds and other mutual funds to American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) listed on the US exchange
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Acknowledgments
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would like to thank the many individuals, friends, and family whose contributions to this project have been extremely valuable Your resolve and generosity are deeply appreciated and were instrumental in the making of this book Thanks to Elayne Sheridan (investments), Carolyn Wood (Brazil, Mexico), Andrew Vitvisky (Russia), Seung-Min Yoo (Korea), and Michael Brown (China, Russia, Korea) for their wonderful contributions and hard work My special thanks to my friend Richard Fey, econometrician and professor, who took time away from his teaching and research to offer valuable ideas on the book as a whole and particularly his insight into China, emanating from his travels and earlier research, which proved to be extremely useful My special thanks to Alexis Lefort, who handled the editorial duties of the project with remarkable composure Thanks also to Kathryn Liebowitz, who copyedited and transcribed notes with wonderful zeal and great patience I would also like to thank my agent, Kenneth Lizotte, for handling the painstaking details of the early work and his encouragement while the project was in its beginning stages I would also like to thank Erin McFee for her initial research when the book was just a germ of an idea My thanks to Deborah Englander (editor), Kelly O Connor (development editor) for their valuable ideas, patience to guide me through the process, and painstaking detail during the editing process Great appreciation to my colleagues at Peak Financial Management Kerry Luria, Justin Miller, Luisa Pandol , Alla Trachtenberg, and Neel Tiku who not only stepped in when requested, but also worked extra hard during extended absences from the of ce in order to complete this book I would like to thank my entire family, especially my wife, Raj, and my three children, Seema, Neel, and Gita, whose vacations I ruined and events I missed due to obligations and preoccupations with this book I am grateful to my sisters, Shana Mattoo and Arti Kaul, and my extended family through-
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