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and American Express, I go back to the reasons I bought them in the rst place and evaluate current conditions
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Mistakes of Commission and Mistakes of Omission
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Berkshire Hathaway purchased 200 million shares of Coca-Cola for about $650 per share (split-adjusted) in the late 1980s During the Internet bubble period in early 1998, the Coca-Cola stock price was $85 per share, which, by most valuation metrics, was overvalued For example, the P/E ratio was over 50 Buffett has subsequently hinted that not selling Berkshire s Coca-Cola stock was a mistake By 2003, the stock price had fallen to $40, and in early 2009, it was still trading at around $45 per share We don t know why Buffett did not sell the stock, but we can speculate and possibly learn from this episode First, Buffett was a director on the Coca-Cola board of directors Any director would nd it dif cult to sell a huge position in the company stock Buffett resigned from his directorship in 2006 after 17 years on the board Second, it is possible that when a company has signi cant cash ows as Berkshire does, even people like Buffett may not be attentive to the price of an investment After all, the idea in long-term investing is not to focus on the day-to-day price Finally, it is worth mentioning that if Buffett had sold the Coca-Cola stock at close to its peak, say in 1999 or 2000, and invested the after-tax proceeds in the market index, the losses by 2009 would have been about the same This is a good example to think about when you look at your own mistakes; the main lesson probably is that you should sell a stock when it is clearly overvalued I also do not know why Buffett bought ConocoPhillips stock and then sold it My guess is that he realized that because of high volatility in oil prices, oil company stock prices are speculative in nature Buffett has often talked about mistakes of omission the investments that should have been made but were not made In one instance, he discussed not buying Wal-Mart stock, which was in his circle of competence It was not a high-tech company, and it was growing successfully in the US Midwest where his hometown of Omaha is located I think it would help us all if we learned to evaluate our mistakes not only of commission but also of omission
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How to Learn from Mistakes
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Conclusions
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Everyone makes mistakes, and bad luck strikes everywhere There is not much you can do about bad luck except to diversify and shy away from huge risks When you do make mistakes, take the time to ponder them and nd ways to avoid making the same ones again
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Part Nine
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CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
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ow does Buffett successfully manage a large conglomerate When you think about investing in the stock market, you should also consider the quality of corporate governance practices at the rm In s 27 through 30, I review several principles that Buffett has adopted in running Berkshire Hathaway
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27
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Dividends: Do They Make Sense in This Day and Age
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[D]ividend policy is irrelevant for the determination of market prices, given investment policy1
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Merton Miller and Franco Modigliani
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he practice of paying regular dividends is a long-standing puzzle In a well-known article, two Nobel laureates in economics, Franco Modigliani and Merton Miller, wrote that a company s value does not depend on its dividend policy; rather, value depends on how the company invests its resources After all, dividends are equivalent to transferring shareholders money from their accounts with the company to their personal accounts When a company pays a dividend, its share price drops by almost the same amount as the dividend
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Berkshire Does Not Pay Dividends
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Buffett seems to agree with academic thought on the topic of dividends Berkshire Hathaway has not paid any dividends for the past 42 years MIT
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