DAY-TRADING, SWING TRADING: Acting on Analysis in .NET framework

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Pivot point calculations derived from data from trading session on 1/24/02. High 9855, low 9760, close 9794.
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FIGURE 7.10
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Finding the range. (Source: FutureSource. Reprinted with permission.)
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9735. That is 16 ticks of slippage, which equates to $160 on the $10 per tick contract. The 15-minute bond futures chart shown as Figure 7.11 is a P3T trade signal combining pivot point calculations with reliable candle patterns that also is an example of establishing risk factors or stop loss points that can help you attain a higher frequency of winning trades. At the very least, if you do your pivot point homework and watch the chart patterns at the close of each time period (15 minutes), then I believe you will not be selling the low of the range or buying the high of the range. When there are losers and there will be your loss amounts should not be as significant as they could be. If you sold bonds near the low of the day near 110 because you were convinced the market was headed down and held on to that position up to the 111-16 level, the high of the day, you would probably agree it would have paid to have the pivot point numbers at hand. If you had them, you would have seen that the low was near the targeted low based off the S2 support number of 110 even. You may not have gone long at 110 because of your bearish conviction, but if you had the numbers, knew how to identify important
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Daily R2 resistance 111 18/32
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Calculations based on data from 9/9/02. High was 111 08/32, low was 110 15/32, and close was 110 20/32. Bearish harami cross
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FIGURE 7.11
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P3T trade in bonds. (Source: FutureSource. Reprinted with permission.)
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candle formations, and practiced patience, you may have effectively gone short closer to 111-10. The shooting star followed by the dragonfly doji signaled a top was near. Once the bearish harami cross formed, that should have given you ample conviction to sell short with stops above 111-18. The obvious question is: Where would you rather be short from, the 110 level or the 111-08 area Of course, you d like the 111-08 level. As a day trader you may have bought the low near 110 and placed stops below 109-31 once you had confirmation of the morning star pattern. Here were two trade signals that were provided with candle chart formations at specific pivot point key numbers. Using effective risk management from proper stop loss order entry points is half the battle to consistent winning trades and wealth building. Here, too, was a great opportunity for a short position at the 111-08 to 111-12 level. By the close of the market s open-outcry session, there wasn t much profit in the trade. But, because bonds trade virtually 24 hours, holding a short position overnight is manageable. Figure 7.12, a compressed 15minute chart, shows the results of this trade and the effects that a shooting
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DAY-TRADING, SWING TRADING: Acting on Analysis
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FIGURE 7.12
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P3T trade results. (Source: FutureSource. Reprinted with permission.)
star, dragonfly doji, and a bearish harami cross combination can have. The market fell to a low of 109-27 in less than 24 hours. Once again, the hard part was deciding where to take a profit. If you don t remember, here is a solution to that problem: Move your stops down! The double bottom formation was a good spot to identify for taking nearly 11 2 basis points or $1,500 out of the market. Let s take on a more challenging situation, a 5-minute Dow futures chart with the price action on a day when an extraordinary event occurred (Figure 7.13). That was November 6, 2002, the day that the Federal Reserve policy-setting group, the Federal Open Market Committee, surprised the world with a 50-point decrease in the Fed funds rate, the first interest rate adjustment during 2002. Was that a catalyst to incite volatility You bet! But the pivot point numbers still identified the potential range for that day. Taking the data from the prior day s session (November 5, 2002, high of 8675, low of 8515, and close of 8648) placed the R2 resistance at 8771 and the S2 support at 8551, almost exactly on the high and low for the volatile trading day of November 6.