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Now let me introduce you to what I call the trading method for P3T signals Person s Pivot Point Trade signal. P3T combines techniques of pivot point
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analysis, candle charting, and technical indicators such as stochastics to help confirm trade setups or turning points to capture and profit from a price move. Following are some examples of different markets and different time frames to help illustrate the powerful signals that develop using this combination. On a daily chart for silver (Figure 6.4), I identified that the market had formed a shooting star followed by a potential doji after about a seven-week runup. This pattern indicated that the market was due for a correction. That formation indicated a tug-of-war between the bulls and the bears and that a top had formed, based on those combined candles. I had a second-opinion indicator using pivot point analysis on a monthly time frame to determine the potential price range or support and resistance point for the next month. Most traders who are familiar with pivot point analysis associate it with day-trading and do calculations only on a daily basis, but this example shows you why daily, weekly, and monthly calculations can be extremely successful and offer a more powerful method of analyzing price objectives.
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FIGURE 6.4
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Setup in silver. (Source: FutureSource. Reprinted with permission.)
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The high for March silver in December was $4.635, the low was $4.125, and the close was $4.58. The pivot point calculations made $4.7737 (rounded off to $4.775) the first resistance and $4.2637 the first support. The exact high was $4.775! Now look at the after picture shown in Figure 6.5, which shows a powerful selling wave that took command of the price in silver following the bearish candle pattern. Not only did the pivot point calculation numbers alert me to the potential high almost two weeks in advance, but the candle pattern also confirmed it. The January slide took prices close to the $4.2637 pivot point calculation for the S1 support target. The actual low in January was $4.205 not exact but darn close. Combining pivot point analysis with candle charting techniques and then including a Western market indicator such as the stochastic oscillator may give you better trading signals and verification so you can have more confidence in your own trading abilities. Figure 6.6, the weekly chart for U.S. Dollar Index futures, with exponential moving averages for three time periods added, provides another great before-after example, illustrating that candle chart patterns and pivot
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Shooting star and monthly R1 was 477.
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Actual low 420.5; monthly S1 was 426.
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Bullish convergence
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FIGURE 6.5
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Bearish harami cross Weekly R1 is 120.98; actual high, 120.88.
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FIGURE 6.6
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P3T trade in U.S. dollar. (Source: FutureSource. Reprinted with
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point analysis work together with other indicators not only on daily charts but for other time periods as well. Look at the shooting star formation that exposed the turning point for the market during the first week in July. The next candle was a hanging man, which certainly warned that the trend was changing. The result was a complete market reversal that resulted in a 950point decline within 21 2 months. After another rally that recovered most of the gains following the midSeptember low, look at the bearish harami that formed at the end of January. The characteristics were that the market had had a long advance (nearly four months), and a long white candle had formed (meaning the market closed above the open and there were little or no shadows). The next candle was a doji where the market had a wide range but closed at or quite close to the open. Another observation is that the market was forming a major double top from the prior high. A plan of attack would be to sell short and place the initial stop as a stop close only order above the January high. The reason I would have selected